Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 13.627080 15.354247 17.272191 19.570030 22.261410 25.329920 29.116004
2025-10-05 12.463115 14.987149 18.030714 22.014701 27.157178 33.662097 42.660885
2025-10-12 11.232662 14.093241 17.735907 22.800620 29.800044 39.348244 53.749905
2025-10-19 9.847371 12.742125 16.578805 22.159920 30.287207 42.051408 61.082078
2025-10-26 9.213842 12.270572 16.477474 22.867895 32.661208 47.701134 73.841001
2025-11-02 8.408261 11.454498 15.774182 22.568794 33.426416 50.946335 83.328816
2025-11-09 7.711905 10.714143 15.083796 22.171829 33.930668 53.779304 92.630489
2025-11-16 7.155167 10.120246 14.540175 21.917417 34.594703 56.934862 103.178877
2025-11-23 6.595614 9.470808 13.844480 21.325278 34.579038 58.836540 111.635081
2025-11-30 6.204768 9.045686 13.456427 21.190821 35.331376 62.255607 124.075844
2025-12-07 5.701216 8.405862 12.669629 20.287870 34.553184 62.555292 129.603735
2025-12-14 5.211202 7.754935 11.815823 19.185400 33.263922 61.620119 132.001737
2025-12-21 4.853723 7.307764 11.288265 18.656421 33.098042 63.172764 141.437978
2025-12-28 5.013680 7.717466 12.238026 20.931316 38.845972 78.713801 192.996367
2026-01-04 4.900743 7.659219 12.368920 21.671159 41.536193 87.926682 230.893884
2026-01-11 4.595400 7.250441 11.843438 21.069477 41.224904 89.784408 246.782291
2026-01-18 4.496892 7.192976 11.946704 21.734171 43.846861 99.670828 293.910501
2026-01-25 4.277731 6.907963 11.607678 21.453398 44.235491 103.720949 322.235478
2026-02-01 4.064232 6.620071 11.242348 21.080670 44.352191 107.054742 349.569102
2026-02-08 3.883590 6.380954 10.952825 20.841738 44.765359 111.354128 383.287289
2026-02-15 3.678425 6.085670 10.535538 20.285462 44.305166 112.957022 406.264182
2026-02-22 3.537041 5.900523 10.320963 20.159117 44.940197 118.125177 449.079919
2026-03-01 3.324992 5.572991 9.805577 19.310317 43.559442 116.548498 457.882872